The Market

We are only a month in the year 2026 and it is already drawing off that this may be one of the most volatile years of all times on the market and could be a total of the markets. The last week was one of the craziest weeks I've ever experienced. Every time I put myself in, to shoot a video, I couldn't really upload it because something else came in between. So I thought, I'll wait until Sunday to tell you everything. And if your money and your profit values are important to you, listen carefully, because in my opinion it is time for me to start here with the insurance. So let's clear the simple part out of the way. The US bank of notes has kept the taxes stable. That was to be expected. But when the US bank of notes was asked whether they would support the Japanese yen or lower the taxes, Jerome Powell did not give up. But he only focused on the details. And that was it, what the dollar bluff stopped. And here the possible collapse of the metal began. More on that later. Please have a little patience. We also had the results of Microsoft Meta and Tesla. Microsoft as well as Meta have clearly exceeded the n Microsoft fell by 10%. Meta has risen by 10%. Microsoft sank, by the way. Follow me on x for free trading and financial content. There I wrote, the market has been cut off from OpenAI. The results that exceeded themselves and strong Azure Cloud took this record was not able to prevent it since the . com crash. The worst day so far was during the . com crash. The reason is, however, that Microsoft has first known how much percent of its remaining commercial performance tax from OpenAI comes. 45% of the remaining performance tax in the height of 625 billion US dollars will be added to OpenAI. So the market is still wondering if OpenAI can actually generate enough bar funds to pay Microsoft the next 281 billion US dollars, which is essentially Microsoft's fault. And this gap shown to me a week ago finally filled Microsoft. I think that the course could possibly go on. But we are approaching Microsoft's potentially underrated area, just And within a few weeks Meta earned almost 130 US dollars per share. I have shown you this strategy in these videos. Well, Tesla remained quite unchanged after the profit n But here is the big announcement for Tesla. The Model X and the Model S are set up and, according to Elon, the resources for these cars are used by Optimus Roboters. There are also r Now, it was first said that Tesla would not belong to it and remain separate. But the r And in my opinion, Tesla could give it a short position here. Tesla is normally developed in the first quarter in the lower segment. But the r And we could test these low-end stocks here at 380. Let's now come to the silver crash. According to the Future's price for silver, silver is $ 118. 50 a day. What was the cause for the crash? There is no single thing. Of course, there will be reports in the news that Kevin Walsh, Tr Kevin Walsh has definitely always been a dollar falco and he is definitely not a newbie in the Fed, since he was in the board of governors of the Federal Reserve even under Obama. His politics and his status points are also far known. Obviously, silver and gold are currently on a historic high-speed flight, not only in dollars, but also in percentage and according to my understanding a marginated liquidation. When the silver price rises, the CME, which the Future's margin is expected or is expected, will increase the margin for every silver contract bought. Originally, the margin for silver contracts were, depending on when you bought it, at about 25,000 per silver contract. But on January 13, the CME put the whole method of solid dollars on a percentage of the nominal value of the contract. This means that the margin requirement is increasing by percent, the higher the silver price increases. The CME has never done this with stainless steel metals, it has done this with other Future's contracts. But this is the first time in history that she has done this with stainless steel metals. That she does something dark is not my claim. Of course, you can raise the margin requirements at any time at the price. But if you wanted to lower the silver price, that would fulfill the purpose. Who knows if you got the call. As always, the margin for a silver contract costs about 25,000 to hold a silver contract for those who are here. The current margin, which is based on this new percentage rating, is about 64,000. Sinking prices is the probability of a high demand for a draw and for the institutes, who work with a draw effect, accelerate this effect. Because when the price starts to fall, this new requirement is relieved, the demand for a draw is increased and drives the price further up. This has already happened once. For those who have followed this, this is actually what happened in 2011 when the CME increased its margin requirement drastically and the silver price was low, so that it should no longer rise for the next 14 years. Interesting was the return of the silver price to me at 31%. With 3% plus the growth rate today. During the week, the Bitcoin course fell by 12% and notes the record time at 76. 4K. I found it very strange that the growth rate only fell by 3% with a plus, if you think that silver fell by 31%. I know that the growth rate is not the silver price. But silver has effects on the overall market. Many hedge funds are invested in silver. Many ETFs are invested in silver. And if you release such panic at an important stock, the effects on the market have. Aside from the volatility of silver and Bitcoin, I expect from the following reason that a potential volatility will occur in February on the overall market. That's been my position for a while now. But the results of the first quarter are almost finished. Alphabet comes at midweek after Bu00f6rsen Schluss, Amazon at Thursday after Bu00f6rsen Schluss and some of the big pharmaceutical companies at midweek before Bu00f6rsen opening. And I'm very interested in Novo because I have a position there. Micro-strategy will be interesting because the Bitcoin course is currently under their cost base. So they are in a minus with their Bitcoin stocks. But the profits are short before and until the next profits there are not really many news. Normally it is a quiet phase. Jerome Paul's office time ends on May 15 and Kevin Warsh comes only May 15. If his original announcement has scared the market, because he is a false guilt and Jerome Paul the taxes will probably not be lowered, he will go back his last tax last year. That could further increase volatility until May. We have seen in Microsoft that the stock of Open Eye is getting worse and worse. And now we see that the talks with Nvidia, which was planned to invest this year 100 billion in Open Eye, apparently are in stock. Shortly after this report, Jensen Wong reported to the word and said, no, that's not true. And today he says that the investment was not a obligation. If you look at Nvidia's own website from September 2025, there is still this clarity of view to be found. Nvidia is closing with every gigawatt prepared step by step to invest 100 billion dollars in Open Eye. Here you can therefore put the word meaning and it is not a obligation. Sure, it may not be a legally binding obligation. But what is an opinion statement? And I said that on X. I said, chat, GPT was started as the only option and therefore has big investments from risk capitalists and MAC minus 7 heavy weights What can Open AI now, what can't be an tropic? What can Open AI, what can't Google? They blame all these companies hundreds of billions of dollars. And this company is currently only earning 13 billion dollars per year. In terms of the additional capacities of Google Gemini and Anthropic, the question is, how Open AI will generate additional income to compare the hundreds of billions of dollars, which is Nvidia, Microsoft and AMD. Jensen Hang is not stupid. Thanks to low IQ, he didn't earn money, didn't build a company. He is extremely intelligent and business-wise. His hundreds of billions of dollars at Open AI are simply a gift. He said that they might be invested in a smaller amount, but Nvidia has a very healthy liquidity position in the last 12 months. The free cash flow runs at about 61 billion US dollars. Since the release of this deal, the shares of Nvidia have stagnated. He has not moved since the release of the deal, literally. And the shares of Oracle are falling further, as more and more banks are lowering their credit rate. Since they invested hundreds of billions of dollars in the construction of cash centers. So I believe that with Open AI-related companies, after the Q1 results, they also have to take into account the transition from profit and investment prognoses. I don't see how the key dynamics will be kept in the years to come, even though the market is growing. Therefore, I think that we will probably experience a cooling phase. Maybe after the reports from Google and Amazon, from which I expect both. I just don't see anything that could create a big dynamic that would drive the market up. And it is my opinion absolutely plausible that it will come to a slowdown before the year ends in the end, which is my opinion at the moment still my basic scenario. Here you can see the statistics when the rentals are positive in January. The year usually ends in the plus every time, except in 1966. At that time we have the year or excuse. We have decided to win the January with positive wins. I think, a lock at 1. 37 percent. But the n I mean, 2007 were the uninstalled values, 2004 were the uninstalled n I love his data, but it continues to be decided. If there is a negative performance between January 24 and February 6, the rest of the year really looks crazy. As I said, we have the results of Google and Amazon this week, and I will pay attention to how the S and P 500 is developed. I will observe this wedge here at the S and P 500 closely. At the beginning of the year, when we see a break in the wedge pattern, it is very common that there is a correction. You can see that in 2025 and even 2024, when we had a 6 percent return in March. In 2023, we had an 8-9 percent return in February. In 2022, we had a empty market. In 2021, it came from the pandemic. In 2020, this happened in February. My proposal, insurance with Wix Putz in tax-recommended accounts. I will probably take some profits, because I am not tax-recommended. And what gold and silver is, I personally would not chase these movements behind. That was every time the death of gold and silver. Whenever we have these parabolic incidences, when they have increased the margin requirements to press the price, I mean that gold and silver can be dead for decades. The cheaper, clearer, a safer throw that you should think about. But even if you can see here that the silver price reached this level from 1980 to 2025, that's 45 years. I think gold is a little less speculative than silver. And percentually, it does not suffer the same margin-related returns. Of course they will do what they do. There will be people in the comment area who are ideologically very bound to gold and silver. I understand that, I have read the comments. But my opinion, I would not chase something That's just my opinion. You do what you do. In terms of chances, I told you that I think that some stocks would break in. I thought that the low 90s would reach, possibly even the 80s. So I'm waiting to see if the previous age can reach about 85 and then I will make my decision. This is also the long-term trend line here and would be the golden bag. I think, from the perspective of the future KGV, Microsoft will be As a meta with a future KGV of 21 was traded. I think Microsoft would be traded with a similar future KGV at 400. As I said, it still has the smell of open eye. Therefore, my opinion will still last a whole while until it is recovered. But what is more important, I will let it go slowly here. I don't have it to be a capital. But I think that later in the year there will be a much better opportunity. And I'm curious if it's time to open a few hedges here. So there is a lot to talk about. If you want to have time and real-time access to my full-time analysis, you should be trading live with me every morning at the market opening. I will add an example at the end of this video, which shows you how these seats run and you want the full list of my hedges, swings and so on. You can find the link below in the description. Come to us if you just want to follow the videos, that's okay. Hopefully you have something from this video. There is a lot to talk about. Leave me questions or comments below. Let me know what you think. Do you think we have to fight volatility? Do you think that's just nothing? Do you think that silver and gold will rise again and even reach new age groups? Do you buy silver and gold at the moment? Which stocks are you interested in? Would be happy to hear from you. In the comments below there is always an interesting and lively discussion. Subscribe to the channel, activate the notification bell. Stay safe out there, traders. Peace. I wonder if that's all here. Order done. I think we're going to go to 26116. That's a plus trade for me. We only have to go over 930. Then we'll make it. Now it's 2000 on the real-time account. I took five micros on the prop account and four minis on the real-time account. Wonderful move. Now it's 4000. Anki should continue. If you want, you can take the win here. 2 to 1 here. Wonderful move. I took three. I have another one left. I'll let it run. Let'see if we can get through here. It doesn't come. Even on the micros are the 900th. I don't want to be a loser for a tick. I'll take it for 9 of the support. This remaining contract is only for 2000. Ouch. Beautiful trade. Guys, that was a what? $6,200 trade. What a shitty trade.